Cancer in South Africa: Deaths Set to Nearly Double by 2050

Original Article by Biénne Huisman | Spotlight | 7 October 2026

Cancer in South Africa is rising, with deaths forecast to nearly double by 2050. Learn what ageing, smoking and urbanisation mean for care.

Cancer in South Africa: Deaths Set to Nearly Double by 2050

Image | Vector Leart | Shutterstock/2421568635

Deaths from cancer in South Africa are forecast to nearly double, from about 64,000 in 2024 to 127,000 in 2050, according to Global Burden of Disease (GBD) projections. Experts quoted by Spotlight and Daily Maverick link the rise mainly to an ageing population and changing lifestyles.

Measuring the cancer burden

The National Cancer Registry recorded about 91,600 diagnosed cases in 2024. However, it counts mainly lab-confirmed diagnoses, so it misses undiagnosed cases.

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